Certainty about uncertainty

Good Day:

This morning, my commentary was posted to the UCS blog about decision-making using incomplete and potentially inaccurate information. See http://allthingsnuclear.org/nuclear-risk-assessments-and-regulatory-bias/?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=feed&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+allthingsnuclear%2Ffeed+%28All+Things+Nuclear%29
Bias fills in missing information gaps with rosy or dire projections, clearly affecting decisions made.

Bias had the NRC paint a far more dire picture of the situation at Fukushima than did the Japanese regulator.

Bias had the NRC paint a rosy picture of the current situation at Diablo Canyon. Wonder what the Japanese regulator would recommend about the known earthquake and fire protection shortcomings at this plant? Bet they'd not be as nonchalant as the NRC has been.


Thanks,
Dave Lochbaum
UCS